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887. Classification of the population dynamics observed in Italian Municipalities between 1951 and 2019

Working Paper n.887 - Agosto 2022

Federico Bacchi

Università di  Bologna

Laura Neri

DEPS, USiena

Abstract

 After the Second World War Italy’s population has shown a gradual growth, but this was not uniformly distributed throughout time and space. An original classification method, based on the demographic trend observed during the last seventy years, is proposed to classify 7914 Municipalities. Considering the population dynamic as a Markov Chain, a division into groups is proposed. As a result of a series of statistical analysis, we observe that the earthquake risk and the quality of internet connection are associated with population dynamics

Keywords

Classification Methods; Demographic Trend; Depopulation; Italy; Markov Chain; Population Dynamics