Cinthia de Souza
PhD-DEPS, USiena
Abstact
This paper analyses the role of sovereign investor groups in shaping financial instability and asymmetries within the Eurozone and their interaction with its institutional framework. It proposes a framework to assess the impacts of government debt outflows on countries’ financial fragility under varying scenarios, including different paces of Quantitative Tightening (QT) and evolving investor group dynamics. Our findings indicate that foreign investors play a potential asymmetrical role in the Eurozone, exhibiting destabilising behaviour towards peripheral government debt. This uneven role can be exacerbated by a market-based institutional approach to public debt or mitigated by appropriate support for these state liabilities. By combining the impacts of QT with the potential reemergence of foreign flow asymmetries in sovereign markets, our findings highlight that such dynamics could further deepen the Eurozone's core-periphery divide
Keywords
Sovereign Debt; Government Bondholders; Financial Asymmetries; Eurozone.
Jel codes
H63; G15; E58.
